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Under
HRTrading<$100Over
RN1CTR<$100UnderUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
CA Penarol Montevideo vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 50%
Total Value
$2
Combined PnL
-$8.51
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares37
Combined PnL-$9.28
Over1 trader
Total Value$2
Total Shares2
Combined PnL+$0.77
Under — 80%Over — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 25.4¢ | $9.28 | — | -$9.28 | 48% 8249-8767 (17016) |
HRTrading<$100 | Overavg 52¢ | $1.23 | $2 | +$0.77 | 53% 5014-4502 (9516) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 54¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56824-49050 (105874) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 55¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 25353-25122 (50475) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 12788-13237 (26025) |
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$9.28
Value
—
PnL
-$9.28
Record
48%
8249-8767 (17016)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$1.23
Value
$2
PnL
+$0.77
Record
53%
5014-4502 (9516)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56824-49050 (105874)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
25353-25122 (50475)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
12788-13237 (26025)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdc8040f6...bff4cd
Slug
uru1-pen-wan-2026-10-31-total-1pt5