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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Norway — but Wales won instead.
Spread: Norway (-4.5)
Resolved Wales. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Norway. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Norway 80%
Total Value
$14
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Norway
4 of 5 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Norway0%
Wales100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xac535034...2fad5f
Slug
unl-nor-wal-2026-11-14-spread-home-4pt5