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NoNoYesYes
VeryLucky888No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Exact Score: Norway 4 - 3 Wales?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$281.76
Combined PnL
-$45.15
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$281.76
Total Shares282
Combined PnL+$3.9
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,470
Combined PnL-$49.05
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA MadridTime | Noavg 98.9¢ | $261.53 | $264.44 | +$2.91 | 38% 1014-1686 (2700) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 98.9¢ | $17.13 | $17.32 | +$0.19 | 53% 1811-1610 (3421) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $262.29 | — | -$22.02 | 48% 3239-3552 (6791) |
LO lovedudleyCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $27.03 | — | -$27.03 | 23% 25-85 (110) |
VeryLucky888 | Noavg 98.6¢ | $260.72 | $0 | +$0.81 | 54% 1417-1228 (2645) |
MA
MadridTimeInvested
$261.53
Value
$264.44
PnL
+$2.91
Record
38%
1014-1686 (2700)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
$17.13
Value
$17.32
PnL
+$0.19
Record
53%
1811-1610 (3421)
38
38791873984189CTRInvested
$262.29
Value
—
PnL
-$22.02
Record
48%
3239-3552 (6791)
LO
lovedudleyCTR<$100Invested
$27.03
Value
—
PnL
-$27.03
Record
23%
25-85 (110)
VeryLucky888Invested
$260.72
Value
$0
PnL
+$0.81
Record
54%
1417-1228 (2645)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd3509fc1...7e7a6f
Slug
unl-nor-wal-2026-11-14-exact-score-4-3