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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Ukraine — but Northern Ireland won instead.
Spread: Ukraine (-2.5)
Resolved Northern Ireland. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Ukraine. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Ukraine 100%
Total Value
$98.04
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Ukraine
5 of 5 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Ukraine0%
Northern Ireland100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb06bd958...b76f9c
Slug
unl-nir-ukr-2026-11-14-spread-away-2pt5