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NoYesYes
poshposhCTR<$100Yes
VeryLucky888<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Kosovo vs. Israel: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 40%
Total Value
$242.29
Combined PnL
-$98.34
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$242.29
Total Shares242
Combined PnL+$7.6
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares656
Combined PnL-$105.94
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NE Next-Licensing | Noavg 99.9¢ | $232.54 | $232.77 | +$0.23 | 98% 165-4 (169) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 14.8¢ | $47.78 | — | -$47.78 | 37% 1028-1723 (2751) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Yesavg 18¢ | $43.06 | — | -$43.06 | 36% 948-1669 (2617) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16¢ | $15.1 | — | -$15.1 | 49% 1117-1185 (2302) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 79¢ | $45.22 | $9.52 | +$7.36 | 53% 1351-1180 (2531) |
NE
Next-LicensingInvested
$232.54
Value
$232.77
PnL
+$0.23
Record
98%
165-4 (169)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$47.78
Value
—
PnL
-$47.78
Record
37%
1028-1723 (2751)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$43.06
Value
—
PnL
-$43.06
Record
36%
948-1669 (2617)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$15.1
Value
—
PnL
-$15.1
Record
49%
1117-1185 (2302)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$45.22
Value
$9.52
PnL
+$7.36
Record
53%
1351-1180 (2531)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe7250e2a...11e706
Slug
unl-kvx-isr-2026-11-14-btts-first-half