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NoYesYesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Croatia?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 80%
Total Value
$12.54
Combined PnL
-$41.47
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$12.54
Total Shares13
Combined PnL+$0.04
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,547
Combined PnL-$41.51
No — 20%Yes — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VE Venusian<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | $12.5 | $12.54 | +$0.04 | 33% 593-1215 (1808) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $14.46 | — | -$14.46 | 48% 2320-2524 (4844) |
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | $0.02 | — | -$0.02 | 42% 98-135 (233) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.4¢ | $1.04 | — | -$1.04 | 47% 1724-1982 (3706) |
LO lovedudleyCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $27.03 | — | -$25.99 | — 2-10 (12) |
VE
Venusian<$100Invested
$12.5
Value
$12.54
PnL
+$0.04
Record
33%
593-1215 (1808)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$14.46
Value
—
PnL
-$14.46
Record
48%
2320-2524 (4844)
0X
0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR<$100Invested
$0.02
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
42%
98-135 (233)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$1.04
Value
—
PnL
-$1.04
Record
47%
1724-1982 (3706)
LO
lovedudleyCTR<$100Invested
$27.03
Value
—
PnL
-$25.99
Record
—
2-10 (12)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4badc23a...8db254
Slug
unl-eng-hrv-2026-11-12-exact-score-0-3