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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Cyprus — but Montenegro won instead.
Spread: Montenegro (-2.5)
Resolved Montenegro. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Cyprus. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Cyprus 75%
Total Value
$5.2K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Cyprus
6 of 8 top traders (75%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Montenegro100%
Cyprus0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x10a3ad4e...e915be
Slug
unl-cyp-mon-2026-11-15-spread-away-2pt5