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UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 1
SIGNAL
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Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Renato Moicano50%
Tom Nolan50%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance52.2%
50.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$91.39
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
191.4
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x09ee415e...c37a52
Slug
ufc-ren-tom14-2026-10-31