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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Carlos Calderon — but Austin Bashi won instead.
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Carlos Calderon (Featherweight, Prelims)
Resolved Austin Bashi. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Carlos Calderon. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Carlos Calderon 33%
Total Value
$16.25
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Carlos Calderon
2 of 6 top traders (33%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Austin Bashi100%
Carlos Calderon0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd60122cf...4f78ea
Slug
ufc-aus7-car22-2026-11-07