Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
9
Under 78%
$12.46
$-2.0K
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI LightParadoxCTR | Underavg 35.8Β’ | $1.5K | β | $-1.5K | 53% 921-802 (1723) |
SN SnakeBallCTR | Underavg 31.1Β’ | $189.16 | β | -$189.16 | 50% 35629-35110 (70739) |
VE VenusianCTR | Underavg 33.2Β’ | $146.98 | β | -$146.98 | 53% 928-828 (1756) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 33Β’ | $64.02 | β | -$64.99 | 56% 959-749 (1708) |
FO forecastication4CTR<$100 | Underavg 31.1Β’ | $34.5 | β | -$34.5 | 50% 1292-1311 (2603) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Underavg 31.5Β’ | $21.23 | β | -$21.23 | 58% 18645-13742 (32387) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Underavg 32.6Β’ | $90.97 | β | -$21.97 | 48% 14412-15920 (30332) |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Overavg 68Β’ | $7.14 | $10.5 | +$3.62 | 51% 7362-7108 (14470) |
HY hydra1248<$100 | Overavg 69.1Β’ | $1.35 | $1.96 | +$0.6 | 67% 53-26 (79) |
Invested
$1,545.18
Value
β
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
53%
921-802 (1723)
Invested
$189.16
Value
β
PnL
-$189.16
Record
50%
35629-35110 (70739)
Invested
$146.98
Value
β
PnL
-$146.98
Record
53%
928-828 (1756)
Invested
$64.02
Value
β
PnL
-$64.99
Record
56%
959-749 (1708)
Invested
$34.5
Value
β
PnL
-$34.5
Record
50%
1292-1311 (2603)
Invested
$21.23
Value
β
PnL
-$21.23
Record
58%
18645-13742 (32387)
Invested
$90.97
Value
β
PnL
-$21.97
Record
48%
14412-15920 (30332)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$7.14
Value
$10.5
PnL
+$3.62
Record
51%
7362-7108 (14470)
Invested
$1.35
Value
$1.96
PnL
+$0.6
Record
67%
53-26 (79)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
LightParadox
CTRUnder β $0
SnakeBall
CTRUnder β $0
Venusian
CTRUnder β $0
Limousin
CTRUnder β $0
forecastication4
CTRUnder β $0
ghorrock
CTRUnder β $0
38791873984189
CTRUnder β $0

HRTrading
Over β $10.5
hydra1248
Over β $1.96