Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 2 Aston Villa FC?
Resolved No. 14% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
No 14%
1 arb excluded
$1.2K
-$64.75
Smart Money Signal
1 of 7 top traders (14%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SN SnakeBall | Noavg 95.2¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$54.71 | 50% 35629-35110 (70739) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5¢ | $69.68 | — | -$69.68 | 50% 20222-20549 (40771) |
38 38791873984189ARB<$100 | Noavg 95.7¢ | $75.26 | $43.8 | -$9.46 | 48% 14412-15920 (30332) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 95.7¢ | $41.9 | $43.8 | -$8.15 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $11.72 | — | -$1.31 | |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.7¢ | $19.05 | — | -$19.05 | 52% 847-783 (1630) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.7¢ | $13.59 | — | -$13.59 | 45% 13709-16632 (30341) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.7¢ | $9.07 | — | -$9.07 | 53% 921-802 (1723) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.6¢ | $5.99 | — | -$5.99 | 56% 959-749 (1708) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.6¢ | $2.07 | — | -$2.07 | 53% 928-828 (1756) |
Invested
$1,089.04
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$54.71
Record
50%
35629-35110 (70739)
Invested
$69.68
Value
—
PnL
-$69.68
Record
50%
20222-20549 (40771)
Invested
$75.26
Value
$43.8
PnL
-$9.46
Record
48%
14412-15920 (30332)
Both legs:
Invested
$19.05
Value
—
PnL
-$19.05
Record
52%
847-783 (1630)
Invested
$13.59
Value
—
PnL
-$13.59
Record
45%
13709-16632 (30341)
Invested
$9.07
Value
—
PnL
-$9.07
Record
53%
921-802 (1723)
Invested
$5.99
Value
—
PnL
-$5.99
Record
56%
959-749 (1708)
Invested
$2.07
Value
—
PnL
-$2.07
Record
53%
928-828 (1756)