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Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on November 4?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Nov 4
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes45%
No56%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance46.5%
44.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Tech 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$115.09
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
215.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xed7f5aa0...a4b751
Slug
tsla-close-above-410-on-november-4-2026