Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

Sisaket United FC vs. Ratchaburi FC: O/U 3.5
Resolved Over. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Under 67%
$281.94
-$748.03
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() poshposh | Overavg 97.8Β’ | $225.58 | $150 | -$75.58 | 59% 9935-6911 (16846) |
![]() RN1CTR | Underavg 52Β’ | $345.3 | $98.06 | -$247.24 | 54% 56326-48479 (104805) |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Overavg 99.9Β’ | $33.85 | $33.88 | +$0.03 | 52% 4004-3650 (7654) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Underavg 50Β’ | $50 | β | -$50 | 49% 18995-19405 (38400) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Underavg 72Β’ | $344 | β | -$344 | 50% 24858-24564 (49422) |
VA Vampiro1CTR<$100 | Underavg 53Β’ | $20 | β | -$12.45 | 77% 3247-975 (4222) |
PA pauleta23CTR<$100 | Underavg 1Β’ | $1 | β | -$1 | 67% 23273-11679 (34952) |
GO gollaza<$100 | Overavg 25.3Β’ | $23.32 | β | -$17.79 | 66% 3063-1582 (4645) |
poshposhInvested
$225.58
Value
$150
PnL
-$75.58
Record
59%
9935-6911 (16846)
RN1CTRInvested
$345.3
Value
$98.06
PnL
-$247.24
Record
54%
56326-48479 (104805)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$33.85
Value
$33.88
PnL
+$0.03
Record
52%
4004-3650 (7654)
Invested
$50
Value
β
PnL
-$50
Record
49%
18995-19405 (38400)
Invested
$344
Value
β
PnL
-$344
Record
50%
24858-24564 (49422)
Invested
$20
Value
β
PnL
-$12.45
Record
77%
3247-975 (4222)
Invested
$1
Value
β
PnL
-$1
Record
67%
23273-11679 (34952)
Invested
$23.32
Value
β
PnL
-$17.79
Record
66%
3063-1582 (4645)
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