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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?
Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 40%
Total Value
$1.9K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
2 of 5 top traders (40%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x37f0bff2...28ca73
Slug
spx-up-or-down-on-october-12-2026