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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 6
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up54%
Down46%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance56.0%
54.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Finance 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$78.60
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
178.6
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x3acda687...471edd
Slug
spx-up-or-down-on-november-6-2026