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No
poshposh<$100No
RN1<$100NoNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Al Diraiyah Saudi Club leading at halftime?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
No 100%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$251.95
Combined PnL
$20.24
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 4 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$15.94
Total Shares16
Combined PnL+$20.24
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboiARB<$100 | Noavg 54.6¢ | $169.73 | $236.01 | +$66.28 | 38% 3209-5230 (8439) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 54.6¢ | $128.91 | $236.01 | +$107.1 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 65.8¢ | $40.82 | — | -$40.82 | |
poshposh<$100 | Noavg 37¢ | $5.9 | $15.94 | +$20.24 | 59% 9935-6911 (16846) |
RN1<$100 | Noavg 12¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56326-48479 (104805) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 14.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24858-24564 (49422) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Noavg 13¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 12488-12848 (25336) |
TO
topdogbigboiARB<$100Invested
$169.73
Value
$236.01
PnL
+$66.28
Record
38%
3209-5230 (8439)
Both legs:
No$128.9154.6¢+$107.1
Yes$40.8265.8¢-$40.82
poshposh<$100Invested
$5.9
Value
$15.94
PnL
+$20.24
Record
59%
9935-6911 (16846)
RN1<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56326-48479 (104805)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24858-24564 (49422)
LU
LuckyLoo<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
12488-12848 (25336)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2c509f08...a23c41
Slug
spl-dir-neo-2026-10-30-halftime-result-home