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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down on November 15?
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 86%
Total Value
$15
Combined PnL
-$544.71
Smart Money Signal
Up
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares870
Combined PnL-$569.62
Down1 trader
Total Value$15
Total Shares15
Combined PnL+$24.91
Up — 86%Down — 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EA Eager47259CTR | Upavg 60.1¢ | $1.0K | — | -$434.99 | 49% 224-236 (460) |
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452CTR | Upavg 35.6¢ | $1.1K | — | -$190.67 | 68% 214-103 (317) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 99.9¢ | $1.0K | $15 | +$24.91 | 52% 1673-1561 (3234) |
AN Anon455CTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 49% 482-499 (981) |
BO bosonaCTR | Upavg 42.7¢ | $1.1K | — | +$22.35 | 51% 4911-4688 (9599) |
AL almachCTR | Upavg 43.8¢ | $1.0K | — | +$31.49 | 51% 1661-1571 (3232) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.3¢ | $9.49 | — | +$3.25 | 46% 3282-3819 (7101) |
EA
Eager47259CTRInvested
$1,029.51
Value
—
PnL
-$434.99
Record
49%
224-236 (460)
0X
0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452CTRInvested
$1,054.39
Value
—
PnL
-$190.67
Record
68%
214-103 (317)
MO
mo-moneyInvested
$1,019.53
Value
$15
PnL
+$24.91
Record
52%
1673-1561 (3234)
AN
Anon455CTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
49%
482-499 (981)
BO
bosonaCTRInvested
$1,075.09
Value
—
PnL
+$22.35
Record
51%
4911-4688 (9599)
AL
almachCTRInvested
$1,043.42
Value
—
PnL
+$31.49
Record
51%
1661-1571 (3232)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$9.49
Value
—
PnL
+$3.25
Record
46%
3282-3819 (7101)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9ee4e5f8...6555cd
Slug
solana-up-or-down-on-november-15-2026