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Down
BoneOhioUp
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100DownUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 4AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$135
Combined PnL
-$87.28
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares197
Combined PnL-$111.53
Up2 traders
Total Value$135
Total Shares135
Combined PnL+$24.25
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 38.9¢ | $73.67 | — | -$73.67 | 51% 1641-1598 (3239) |
BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $99 | $100 | +$1 | 74% 942-328 (1270) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 40.2¢ | $21.26 | — | -$21.26 | 47% 783-880 (1663) |
EA Eager47259<$100 | Upavg 33.6¢ | $11.75 | $35 | +$23.25 | 48% 99-109 (208) |
AN Anon455CTR<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $16.6 | — | -$16.6 | 48% 279-297 (576) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$73.67
Value
—
PnL
-$73.67
Record
51%
1641-1598 (3239)
BoneOhioInvested
$99
Value
$100
PnL
+$1
Record
74%
942-328 (1270)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$21.26
Value
—
PnL
-$21.26
Record
47%
783-880 (1663)
EA
Eager47259<$100Invested
$11.75
Value
$35
PnL
+$23.25
Record
48%
99-109 (208)
AN
Anon455CTR<$100Invested
$16.6
Value
—
PnL
-$16.6
Record
48%
279-297 (576)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4b6da682...201f4f
Slug
solana-up-or-down-november-12-2026-4am-et