Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 50%
1 arb excluded
$1.2K
-$543.47
Smart Money Signal
6 of 12 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $999 | $1.0K | +$1 | 54% 1670-1435 (3105) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $502.22 | — | -$499.72 | 54% 4416-3739 (8155) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518ARB<$100 | Upavg 48.2¢ | $68.47 | $65.58 | -$2.89 | 51% 2283-2160 (4443) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 48.2¢ | $36.14 | — | -$36.14 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.3¢ | $32.33 | $65.58 | +$33.25 | |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 86.4¢ | $47.48 | $48.45 | +$0.97 | 44% 1442-1799 (3241) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $43.36 | $44.7 | +$1.34 | 34% 1285-2527 (3812) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 95.6¢ | $26.58 | $27.81 | +$1.23 | 60% 4369-2959 (7328) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $18.49 | $19.48 | +$0.99 | 50% 4723-4777 (9500) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 41.3¢ | $14.77 | — | -$14.77 | 54% 2814-2386 (5200) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $6.74 | $5 | -$1.74 | 40% 1813-2746 (4559) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $3.36 | — | -$3.36 | 50% 1805-1831 (3636) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $1.17 | — | -$1.17 | 49% 3753-3853 (7606) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $15 | — | -$15 | 52% 4002-3711 (7713) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $13.25 | — | -$13.25 | 48% 1554-1679 (3233) |
Invested
$999
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$1
Record
54%
1670-1435 (3105)
Invested
$502.22
Value
—
PnL
-$499.72
Record
54%
4416-3739 (8155)
Invested
$68.47
Value
$65.58
PnL
-$2.89
Record
51%
2283-2160 (4443)
Both legs:
Invested
$47.48
Value
$48.45
PnL
+$0.97
Record
44%
1442-1799 (3241)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$43.36
Value
$44.7
PnL
+$1.34
Record
34%
1285-2527 (3812)
Invested
$26.58
Value
$27.81
PnL
+$1.23
Record
60%
4369-2959 (7328)
Invested
$18.49
Value
$19.48
PnL
+$0.99
Record
50%
4723-4777 (9500)
Invested
$14.77
Value
—
PnL
-$14.77
Record
54%
2814-2386 (5200)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$6.74
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.74
Record
40%
1813-2746 (4559)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$3.36
Value
—
PnL
-$3.36
Record
50%
1805-1831 (3636)
Invested
$1.17
Value
—
PnL
-$1.17
Record
49%
3753-3853 (7606)
Invested
$15
Value
—
PnL
-$15
Record
52%
4002-3711 (7713)
Invested
$13.25
Value
—
PnL
-$13.25
Record
48%
1554-1679 (3233)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $1.0K
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
ARBArbitrage — excluded
13897651
Down — $48.45
pspspsps5
Down — $44.7
aaa221
Down — $27.81
asdcaxz
Down — $19.48
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $5
cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp — $0