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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

15

Down 27%

Total Value

$306.69

Combined PnL

-$468.79

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 15 top traders (27%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares588
Combined PnL-$506.48
Up11 traders
Total Value$306.69
Total Shares307
Combined PnL+$37.69
Down — 27%Up — 73%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

54%

4416-3739 (8155)

SO
soswald1
Up

Invested

$150

Value

$150

PnL

+$7.15

Record

52%

4002-3711 (7713)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$22.25

Value

$24.14

PnL

+$1.88

Record

44%

1442-1799 (3241)

pspspsps5<$100
Up

Invested

$19.66

Value

$21.41

PnL

+$1.75

Record

34%

1285-2527 (3812)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$21.3

Value

$30

PnL

+$8.7

Record

60%

4369-2959 (7328)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$18.09

Value

$14.94

PnL

+$1.7

Record

40%

1813-2746 (4559)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$12.75

Value

$15

PnL

+$2.25

Record

48%

2616-2848 (5464)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$15.41

Value

$26

PnL

+$10.59

Record

54%

2814-2386 (5200)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Up

Invested

$7.8

Value

$10

PnL

+$2.2

Record

50%

4723-4777 (9500)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$4.38

Value

$5.2

PnL

+$0.82

Record

62%

4812-2936 (7748)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.1

Record

65%

2926-1596 (4522)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$4.45

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.55

Record

66%

4119-2085 (6204)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.9

Value

—

PnL

-$0.9

Record

50%

1805-1831 (3636)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.08

Value

—

PnL

-$1.08

Record

54%

1670-1435 (3105)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.5

Value

—

PnL

-$4.5

Record

44%

2501-3236 (5737)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xb22dc62c...c9aeea
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794783300

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$500
SO

soswald1

Up — $150

+$7.15
13

13897651

Up — $24.14

+$1.88

pspspsps5

Up — $21.41

+$1.75
AA

aaa221

Up — $30

+$8.7

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $14.94

+$1.7
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $15

+$2.25
PL

ply-pm2

Up — $26

+$10.59
AS

asdcaxz

Up — $10

+$2.2
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $5.2

+$0.82
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