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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Resolved Up. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Down 42%

Total Value

$212.5

Combined PnL

-$617.53

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 12 top traders (42%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares697
Combined PnL-$649.42
Up7 traders
Total Value$212.5
Total Shares213
Combined PnL+$31.89
Down — 42%Up — 58%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$531.93

Value

—

PnL

-$502.63

Record

54%

4416-3739 (8155)

BoneOhio<$100
Up

Invested

$86.13

Value

$87

PnL

+$0.87

Record

70%

1911-827 (2738)

AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$73.99

Value

—

PnL

-$73.99

Record

50%

4723-4777 (9500)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$58.02

Value

$57.93

PnL

-$0.09

Record

44%

1442-1799 (3241)

SO
soswald1CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$39.21

Value

—

PnL

-$37.24

Record

52%

4002-3711 (7713)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$35.51

Value

—

PnL

-$35.51

Record

54%

2814-2386 (5200)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$16.56

Value

$13.11

PnL

-$3.45

Record

62%

4812-2936 (7748)

cryingbabydicer87<$100
Up

Invested

$10.22

Value

$28

PnL

+$17.78

Record

50%

1805-1831 (3636)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Up

Invested

$5.4

Value

$15

PnL

+$9.6

Record

44%

2501-3236 (5737)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$2.23

Value

$3.23

PnL

+$1

Record

60%

4369-2959 (7328)

pspspsps5<$100
Up

Invested

$2.06

Value

$8.23

PnL

+$6.17

Record

34%

1285-2527 (3812)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

36%

1532-2761 (4293)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x17bd6bd6...b6b4cb
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794783000

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$502.63

BoneOhio

Up — $87

+$0.87
AS

asdcaxz

CTR

Down — $0

-$73.99
13

13897651

Up — $57.93

-$0.09
SO

soswald1

CTR

Down — $0

-$37.24
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$35.51
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $13.11

-$3.45

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $28

+$17.78

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $15

+$9.6
AA

aaa221

Up — $3.23

+$1
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