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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$763.42

Combined PnL

-$1.39

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$265

Total Shares265

Combined PnL+$6.81

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares33

Combined PnL-$8.2

Up — 75%Down — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$500.69	$498.42	+$0.08	54% 4416-3739 (8155)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$249.21	$498.42	+$249.02
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$248.2	—	-$248.94
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 69.9¢	$79.07	$73.25	-$5.81	54% 2814-2386 (5200)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 99¢	$66.33	$67	+$0.67	51% 2283-2160 (4443)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 66.4¢	$60.65	$65.32	+$4.67	50% 4723-4777 (9500)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 60.5¢	$38.4	$37.22	-$1.18	44% 1442-1799 (3241)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 57.6¢	$7.91	$13.73	+$5.82	40% 1813-2746 (4559)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 68.9¢	$5.84	$8.47	+$2.63	62% 4812-2936 (7748)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 23¢	$2.3	—	-$2.3	48% 2635-2900 (5535)
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Downavg 26.1¢	$5.9	—	-$5.9	52% 4002-3711 (7713)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$500.69

Value

$498.42

PnL

+$0.08

Record

54%

4416-3739 (8155)

Both legs:

Up$249.2150¢+$249.02

Down$248.250¢-$248.94

Invested

$79.07

Value

$73.25

PnL

-$5.81

Record

54%

2814-2386 (5200)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$66.33

Value

$67

PnL

+$0.67

Record

51%

2283-2160 (4443)

Invested

$60.65

Value

$65.32

PnL

+$4.67

Record

50%

4723-4777 (9500)

Invested

$38.4

Value

$37.22

PnL

-$1.18

Record

44%

1442-1799 (3241)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$7.91

Value

$13.73

PnL

+$5.82

Record

40%

1813-2746 (4559)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$5.84

Value

$8.47

PnL

+$2.63

Record

62%

4812-2936 (7748)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$2.3

Value

—

PnL

-$2.3

Record

48%

2635-2900 (5535)

soswald1CTR<$100

Invested

$5.9

Value

—

PnL

-$5.9

Record

52%

4002-3711 (7713)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xbb6b084b...e57e2f

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794782400

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

ply-pm2

Up — $73.25

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $67

asdcaxz

Up — $65.32

13897651

Up — $37.22

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $13.73

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $8.47

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

soswald1

Down — $0

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