Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Up 64%
1 arb excluded
$578.16
-$139.1
Smart Money Signal
7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.5Β’ | $510.78 | $500 | -$5.91 | 54% 4385-3706 (8091) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 49.7Β’ | $248.4 | $500 | +$248.9 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.5Β’ | $252.36 | β | -$254.81 | |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 44.6Β’ | $23.53 | $27.65 | +$4.13 | 45% 1433-1784 (3217) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 93Β’ | $15.81 | $17 | +$1.19 | 47% 2520-2793 (5313) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 78.5Β’ | $53.2 | β | -$53.2 | 49% 2590-2661 (5251) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 22.5Β’ | $43.07 | β | -$17.84 | 50% 4700-4760 (9460) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 77.7Β’ | $67.19 | β | -$67.19 | 54% 2796-2370 (5166) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $9.52 | $9.62 | +$0.1 | 40% 1799-2733 (4532) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 97.1Β’ | $6.12 | $6.3 | +$0.18 | 50% 2938-2929 (5867) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 69.2Β’ | $10.73 | $6.33 | +$0.21 | 62% 4780-2916 (7696) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 90Β’ | $5.58 | $6.2 | +$0.62 | 65% 2910-1583 (4493) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 75Β’ | $7.5 | β | -$7.5 | 52% 3978-3687 (7665) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 96Β’ | $4.85 | $5.05 | +$0.2 | 66% 4097-2069 (6166) |
Invested
$510.78
Value
$500
PnL
-$5.91
Record
54%
4385-3706 (8091)
Both legs:
Invested
$23.53
Value
$27.65
PnL
+$4.13
Record
45%
1433-1784 (3217)
ohioism<$100Invested
$15.81
Value
$17
PnL
+$1.19
Record
47%
2520-2793 (5313)
Invested
$53.2
Value
β
PnL
-$53.2
Record
49%
2590-2661 (5251)
Invested
$43.07
Value
β
PnL
-$17.84
Record
50%
4700-4760 (9460)
Invested
$67.19
Value
β
PnL
-$67.19
Record
54%
2796-2370 (5166)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$9.52
Value
$9.62
PnL
+$0.1
Record
40%
1799-2733 (4532)
Invested
$6.12
Value
$6.3
PnL
+$0.18
Record
50%
2938-2929 (5867)
Invested
$10.73
Value
$6.33
PnL
+$0.21
Record
62%
4780-2916 (7696)
Invested
$5.58
Value
$6.2
PnL
+$0.62
Record
65%
2910-1583 (4493)
Invested
$7.5
Value
β
PnL
-$7.5
Record
52%
3978-3687 (7665)
Invested
$4.85
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.2
Record
66%
4097-2069 (6166)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
13897651
Up β $27.65

ohioism
Up β $17
uninformedfloww
CTRDown β $0
asdcaxz
CTRDown β $0
ply-pm2
CTRDown β $0

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $9.62
dvasdkasodk
Up β $6.3
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $6.33
asidjasiodja
Up β $6.2