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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

17

Up 71%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$918.69

Combined PnL

-$11.19

Smart Money Signal

Up

12 of 17 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up12 traders

Total Value$426.77

Total Shares427

Combined PnL+$18.17

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares94

Combined PnL-$29.36

Up — 71%Down — 29%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.1¢	$504.22	$491.92	+$2.1	54% 4385-3706 (8091)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49¢	$246.21	—	-$249.31
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.1¢	$246.54	$491.92	+$251.42
cryingbabydicer87	Upavg 99¢	$99	$100	+$1	50% 1799-1825 (3624)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 98.1¢	$62.81	$64	+$1.19	98% 4661-98 (4759)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 91.1¢	$46.68	$51.26	+$4.58	40% 1799-2733 (4532)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 90.9¢	$41.4	$39.55	-$1.85	45% 1433-1784 (3217)
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 78.7¢	$27.49	$34.93	+$7.44	52% 3978-3687 (7665)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 87.7¢	$32.42	$33	+$0.58	50% 4700-4760 (9460)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 96.3¢	$64.22	$66.67	+$2.45	34% 1279-2509 (3788)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 33¢	$8.8	—	-$8.8	48% 2621-2880 (5501)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 33¢	$8.85	—	-$8.85	48% 2593-2832 (5425)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 50¢	$8	—	-$8	51% 2264-2146 (4410)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 92.8¢	$11.14	$12	+$0.86	43% 2210-2957 (5167)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 99¢	$11.44	$11.56	+$0.12	70% 1893-822 (2715)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 97¢	$4.9	$5.05	+$0.15	50% 2938-2929 (5867)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 79¢	$3.76	$4.76	+$1	60% 4351-2951 (7302)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 83.5¢	$3.34	$4	+$0.66	62% 4780-2916 (7696)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	36% 1528-2731 (4259)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 8.6¢	$3.66	—	-$3.66	54% 2796-2370 (5166)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$504.22

Value

$491.92

PnL

+$2.1

Record

54%

4385-3706 (8091)

Both legs:

Down$246.2149¢-$249.31

Up$246.5450.1¢+$251.42

cryingbabydicer87

Invested

$99

Value

$100

PnL

+$1

Record

50%

1799-1825 (3624)

Invested

$62.81

Value

$64

PnL

+$1.19

Record

98%

4661-98 (4759)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$46.68

Value

$51.26

PnL

+$4.58

Record

40%

1799-2733 (4532)

Invested

$41.4

Value

$39.55

PnL

-$1.85

Record

45%

1433-1784 (3217)

Invested

$27.49

Value

$34.93

PnL

+$7.44

Record

52%

3978-3687 (7665)

Invested

$32.42

Value

$33

PnL

+$0.58

Record

50%

4700-4760 (9460)

Invested

$64.22

Value

$66.67

PnL

+$2.45

Record

34%

1279-2509 (3788)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$8.8

Value

—

PnL

-$8.8

Record

48%

2621-2880 (5501)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$8.85

Value

—

PnL

-$8.85

Record

48%

2593-2832 (5425)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$8

Value

—

PnL

-$8

Record

51%

2264-2146 (4410)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$11.14

Value

$12

PnL

+$0.86

Record

43%

2210-2957 (5167)

Invested

$11.44

Value

$11.56

PnL

+$0.12

Record

70%

1893-822 (2715)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.15

Record

50%

2938-2929 (5867)

Invested

$3.76

Value

$4.76

PnL

+$1

Record

60%

4351-2951 (7302)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$3.34

Value

$4

PnL

+$0.66

Record

62%

4780-2916 (7696)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

36%

1528-2731 (4259)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$3.66

Value

—

PnL

-$3.66

Record

54%

2796-2370 (5166)

Smart Money Signal

Up

12 of 17 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x663fee92...baccfd

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794779400

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $100

hoodquant

Up — $64

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $51.26

13897651

Up — $39.55

soswald1

Up — $34.93

asdcaxz

Up — $33

pspspsps5

Up — $66.67

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

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