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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Down 69%

Total Value

$200.69

Combined PnL

-$581.7

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 13 top traders (69%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares683
Combined PnL-$570.8
Up4 traders
Total Value$200.69
Total Shares201
Combined PnL-$10.9
Down — 69%Up — 31%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$508.27

Value

—

PnL

-$506.11

Record

54%

4385-3706 (8091)

SO
soswald1
Up

Invested

$150

Value

$119.73

PnL

-$18.47

Record

52%

3978-3687 (7665)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$53.57

Value

$58.96

PnL

+$5.38

Record

45%

1433-1784 (3217)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Up

Invested

$10.35

Value

$15

PnL

+$4.65

Record

50%

4700-4760 (9460)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$9.46

Value

$7

PnL

-$2.46

Record

62%

4780-2916 (7696)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7.75

Value

—

PnL

-$7.75

Record

44%

2484-3215 (5699)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.89

Value

—

PnL

-$1.89

Record

48%

2621-2880 (5501)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.38

Value

—

PnL

-$1.38

Record

66%

4097-2069 (6166)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.44

Value

—

PnL

-$1.44

Record

50%

2938-2929 (5867)

ohioismCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.74

Value

—

PnL

-$1.74

Record

47%

2520-2793 (5313)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.15

Value

—

PnL

-$1.15

Record

65%

2910-1583 (4493)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$47.91

Value

—

PnL

-$47.91

Record

54%

2796-2370 (5166)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.43

Value

—

PnL

-$1.43

Record

40%

1799-2733 (4532)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xe7f612d1...29ec42
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794778800

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$506.11
SO

soswald1

Up — $119.73

-$18.47
13

13897651

Up — $58.96

+$5.38
AS

asdcaxz

Up — $15

+$4.65
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $7

-$2.46

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Down — $0

-$7.75
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.89
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.38
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.44

ohioism

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.74
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