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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Resolved Up. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 90%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

$60.55

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 10 top traders (90%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders

Total Value$464.74

Total Shares465

Combined PnL+$61.07

Down1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares18

Combined PnL-$0.53

Up — 90%Down — 10%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.2¢	$508.61	$495	+$2.62	54% 4350-3681 (8031)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.5¢	$245.27	$495	+$248.4
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.2¢	$248.68	—	-$245.78
PL ply-pm2	Upavg 49.7¢	$96.36	$136.64	+$40.28	54% 2777-2356 (5133)
SO soswald1	Upavg 50¢	$150	$125.5	+$7.69	52% 3952-3665 (7617)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Upavg 65.2¢	$118.58	$101.64	-$16.93	49% 3684-3801 (7485)
└ Up leg	Upavg 65.2¢	$66.25	$101.64	+$35.39
└ Down leg	Downavg 56.3¢	$52.33	—	-$52.33
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 46.9¢	$51.58	$64.45	+$12.86	50% 4682-4738 (9420)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 96¢	$47.04	$49	+$1.96	98% 4630-97 (4727)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 62¢	$48.36	$43.36	-$4.99	45% 1425-1776 (3201)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Upavg 96.4¢	$30.3	$31.41	+$1.12	50% 1792-1817 (3609)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 66¢	$5.53	$8.38	+$2.85	40% 1785-2715 (4500)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 81.4¢	$8.34	$4	-$1.69	62% 4748-2897 (7645)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Downavg 3¢	$0.53	—	-$0.53	54% 1650-1425 (3075)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 50¢	$1	$2	+$1	51% 2246-2136 (4382)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$508.61

Value

$495

PnL

+$2.62

Record

54%

4350-3681 (8031)

Both legs:

Up$245.2749.5¢+$248.4

Down$248.6850.2¢-$245.78

Invested

$96.36

Value

$136.64

PnL

+$40.28

Record

54%

2777-2356 (5133)

Invested

$150

Value

$125.5

PnL

+$7.69

Record

52%

3952-3665 (7617)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100

Invested

$118.58

Value

$101.64

PnL

-$16.93

Record

49%

3684-3801 (7485)

Both legs:

Up$66.2565.2¢+$35.39

Down$52.3356.3¢-$52.33

Invested

$51.58

Value

$64.45

PnL

+$12.86

Record

50%

4682-4738 (9420)

Invested

$47.04

Value

$49

PnL

+$1.96

Record

98%

4630-97 (4727)

Invested

$48.36

Value

$43.36

PnL

-$4.99

Record

45%

1425-1776 (3201)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$30.3

Value

$31.41

PnL

+$1.12

Record

50%

1792-1817 (3609)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$5.53

Value

$8.38

PnL

+$2.85

Record

40%

1785-2715 (4500)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$8.34

Value

$4

PnL

-$1.69

Record

62%

4748-2897 (7645)

Invested

$0.53

Value

—

PnL

-$0.53

Record

54%

1650-1425 (3075)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$1

Value

$2

PnL

+$1

Record

51%

2246-2136 (4382)

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 10 top traders (90%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x5d81264c...d2aa03

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794777600

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

ply-pm2

Up — $136.64

soswald1

Up — $125.5

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Arbitrage — excluded

asdcaxz

Up — $64.45

hoodquant

Up — $49

13897651

Up — $43.36

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $31.41

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $8.38

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $4

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