Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 58%
4 arb excluded
$1.2K
-$29.42
Smart Money Signal
7 of 12 top traders (58%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.5¢ | $525.42 | $495 | +$1.65 | 54% 4350-3681 (8031) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.1¢ | $243.08 | — | -$248 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.5¢ | $249.88 | $495 | +$249.65 | |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $247.96 | $250.46 | +$2.5 | 98% 4630-97 (4727) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 33.1¢ | $54.14 | $86.07 | +$31.93 | 54% 2777-2356 (5133) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 33.1¢ | $28.49 | $86.07 | +$57.58 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 23.7¢ | $25.65 | — | -$25.65 | |
AS asdcaxzARB<$100 | Downavg 65.4¢ | $68.6 | $81.31 | +$12.71 | 50% 4682-4738 (9420) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 65.4¢ | $53.14 | $81.31 | +$28.17 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 22.7¢ | $15.46 | — | -$15.46 | |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $150 | $70 | -$16.42 | 52% 3952-3665 (7617) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 47.4¢ | $48.12 | $52.4 | +$4.28 | 49% 3684-3801 (7485) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.7¢ | $23.28 | — | -$23.28 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 47.4¢ | $24.84 | $52.4 | +$27.56 | |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 64.8¢ | $48.4 | $44.27 | -$4.13 | 45% 1425-1776 (3201) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $32.15 | $30 | -$2.15 | 51% 2246-2136 (4382) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 88.1¢ | $19.27 | $18.46 | -$0.81 | 62% 4748-2897 (7645) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $13.8 | $15 | +$1.2 | 48% 2606-2865 (5471) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $9.07 | $15 | +$5.93 | 47% 2506-2778 (5284) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $5.32 | — | -$5.32 | 50% 2915-2911 (5826) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $4.56 | — | -$4.56 | 66% 4070-2058 (6128) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $4.56 | — | -$4.56 | 65% 2887-1573 (4460) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $0.35 | — | -$0.35 | 34% 1270-2495 (3765) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $0.75 | — | -$0.75 | 48% 2582-2816 (5398) |
Invested
$525.42
Value
$495
PnL
+$1.65
Record
54%
4350-3681 (8031)
Both legs:
Invested
$247.96
Value
$250.46
PnL
+$2.5
Record
98%
4630-97 (4727)
Invested
$54.14
Value
$86.07
PnL
+$31.93
Record
54%
2777-2356 (5133)
Both legs:
Invested
$68.6
Value
$81.31
PnL
+$12.71
Record
50%
4682-4738 (9420)
Both legs:
Invested
$150
Value
$70
PnL
-$16.42
Record
52%
3952-3665 (7617)
Invested
$48.12
Value
$52.4
PnL
+$4.28
Record
49%
3684-3801 (7485)
Both legs:
Invested
$48.4
Value
$44.27
PnL
-$4.13
Record
45%
1425-1776 (3201)
Invested
$32.15
Value
$30
PnL
-$2.15
Record
51%
2246-2136 (4382)
Invested
$19.27
Value
$18.46
PnL
-$0.81
Record
62%
4748-2897 (7645)
Invested
$13.8
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.2
Record
48%
2606-2865 (5471)
ohioism<$100Invested
$9.07
Value
$15
PnL
+$5.93
Record
47%
2506-2778 (5284)
Invested
$5.32
Value
—
PnL
-$5.32
Record
50%
2915-2911 (5826)
Invested
$4.56
Value
—
PnL
-$4.56
Record
66%
4070-2058 (6128)
Invested
$4.56
Value
—
PnL
-$4.56
Record
65%
2887-1573 (4460)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.35
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
34%
1270-2495 (3765)
Invested
$0.75
Value
—
PnL
-$0.75
Record
48%
2582-2816 (5398)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Down — $250.46
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asdcaxz
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
Down — $70
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded
13897651
Down — $44.27
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $30
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $18.46
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $15