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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 23% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Up 23%

Total Value

$261.41

Combined PnL

-$481.29

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 13 top traders (23%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares569
Combined PnL-$498.24
Down10 traders
Total Value$261.41
Total Shares261
Combined PnL+$16.95
Up — 23%Down — 77%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$523.23

Value

—

PnL

-$491.61

Record

54%

4350-3681 (8031)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down

Invested

$127.8

Value

$113.67

PnL

-$14.14

Record

49%

3684-3801 (7485)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$41.76

Value

$41.27

PnL

-$0.49

Record

45%

1425-1776 (3201)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Down

Invested

$21.05

Value

$25

PnL

+$5.95

Record

50%

4682-4738 (9420)

SO
soswald1<$100
Down

Invested

$23.45

Value

$35.56

PnL

+$12.11

Record

52%

3952-3665 (7617)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Down

Invested

$12.91

Value

$13.04

PnL

+$0.13

Record

98%

4630-97 (4727)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$7.65

Value

$10.98

PnL

+$3.33

Record

40%

1785-2715 (4500)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Down

Invested

$4.39

Value

$7

PnL

+$2.61

Record

51%

2246-2136 (4382)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Down

Invested

$2.4

Value

$6

PnL

+$3.6

Record

43%

2188-2930 (5118)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$2.89

Value

$4.89

PnL

+$2

Record

60%

4328-2942 (7270)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$2.16

Value

$4

PnL

+$1.84

Record

62%

4748-2897 (7645)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.51

Value

—

PnL

-$1.51

Record

34%

1270-2495 (3765)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$20.65

Value

—

PnL

-$5.12

Record

54%

2777-2356 (5133)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x1d77b9a3...b71b4f
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794776100

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$491.61
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $113.67

-$14.14
13

13897651

Down — $41.27

-$0.49
AS

asdcaxz

Down — $25

+$5.95
SO

soswald1

Down — $35.56

+$12.11
HO

hoodquant

Down — $13.04

+$0.13

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $10.98

+$3.33
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $7

+$2.61
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $6

+$3.6
AA

aaa221

Down — $4.89

+$2
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