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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 50%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$787.47

Combined PnL

-$83.99

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 10 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$166.49

Total Shares166

Combined PnL+$7.28

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares258

Combined PnL-$91.27

Up — 50%Down — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.7¢	$511.25	$500.98	+$1.26	54% 4350-3681 (8031)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.7¢	$253.93	$500.98	+$249.36
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.6¢	$247.8	—	-$248.1
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$150	$120	-$2.68	52% 3952-3665 (7617)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$60	$120	+$62.4
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$55.67	—	-$65.08
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 74.9¢	$86.62	$81.63	-$1.38	50% 4682-4738 (9420)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 19.4¢	$83.92	—	-$78.46	54% 2777-2356 (5133)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 73.2¢	$27.08	$24.82	-$2.25	45% 1425-1776 (3201)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 34.4¢	$17.92	$27.03	+$9.12	49% 3684-3801 (7485)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$25.74	$26	+$0.26	98% 4630-97 (4727)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Downavg 23.7¢	$11.01	—	-$6.96	62% 4748-2897 (7645)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Upavg 78¢	$5.46	$7	+$1.54	50% 1792-1817 (3609)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 23¢	$3.45	—	-$3.45	47% 2506-2778 (5284)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 30¢	$1.5	—	-$1.5	50% 2915-2911 (5826)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 15¢	$0.9	—	-$0.9	43% 2188-2930 (5118)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$511.25

Value

$500.98

PnL

+$1.26

Record

54%

4350-3681 (8031)

Both legs:

Up$253.9350.7¢+$249.36

Down$247.849.6¢-$248.1

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$150

Value

$120

PnL

-$2.68

Record

52%

3952-3665 (7617)

Both legs:

Up$6050¢+$62.4

Down$55.6750¢-$65.08

Invested

$86.62

Value

$81.63

PnL

-$1.38

Record

50%

4682-4738 (9420)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$83.92

Value

—

PnL

-$78.46

Record

54%

2777-2356 (5133)

Invested

$27.08

Value

$24.82

PnL

-$2.25

Record

45%

1425-1776 (3201)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$17.92

Value

$27.03

PnL

+$9.12

Record

49%

3684-3801 (7485)

Invested

$25.74

Value

$26

PnL

+$0.26

Record

98%

4630-97 (4727)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$11.01

Value

—

PnL

-$6.96

Record

62%

4748-2897 (7645)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$5.46

Value

$7

PnL

+$1.54

Record

50%

1792-1817 (3609)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$3.45

Value

—

PnL

-$3.45

Record

47%

2506-2778 (5284)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.5

Value

—

PnL

-$1.5

Record

50%

2915-2911 (5826)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$0.9

Value

—

PnL

-$0.9

Record

43%

2188-2930 (5118)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 10 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xb0cce0f8...bb3f5b

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794775800

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

asdcaxz

Up — $81.63

ply-pm2

Down — $0

13897651

Up — $24.82

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $27.03

hoodquant

Up — $26

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $7

ohioism

Down — $0

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