Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 67%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$811.2

Combined PnL

-$5.48

Down

6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down6 traders

Total Value$159.08

Total Shares159

Combined PnL+$52.76

Up3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares82

Combined PnL-$58.24

Down — 67%Up — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.5¢	$517.75	$498.98	+$6.23	54% 4350-3681 (8031)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$245	—	-$242.7
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.5¢	$252.13	$498.98	+$248.93
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 38.5¢	$58.32	$87.22	+$28.89	54% 2777-2356 (5133)
└ Up leg	Upavg 27.2¢	$24.76	—	-$24.76
└ Down leg	Downavg 38.5¢	$33.56	$87.22	+$53.65
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100	Upavg 43.4¢	$63.52	$65.93	+$2.41	49% 3684-3801 (7485)
└ Up leg	Upavg 43.4¢	$32.08	—	-$32.08
└ Down leg	Downavg 47.7¢	$31.43	$65.93	+$34.49
AS asdcaxz<$100	Downavg 52.1¢	$54.04	$55.08	+$9.72	50% 4682-4738 (9420)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 63.5¢	$32.41	$51	+$18.59	52% 3952-3665 (7617)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Upavg 46.4¢	$20.61	—	-$20.61	45% 1425-1776 (3201)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 60¢	$18	—	-$18	60% 4328-2942 (7270)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 73.5¢	$19.63	—	-$19.63	34% 1270-2495 (3765)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 33.8¢	$8.1	$24	+$15.9	48% 2582-2816 (5398)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 39.4¢	$11.61	$13	+$4.28	62% 4748-2897 (7645)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 92¢	$9.2	$10	+$0.8	50% 1792-1817 (3609)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 42¢	$2.52	$6	+$3.48	44% 2472-3195 (5667)