Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Up 82%
1 arb excluded
$1.2K
$57.86
Smart Money Signal
14 of 17 top traders (82%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.2¢ | $508.17 | $489.75 | +$3.88 | 54% 4282-3627 (7909) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.2¢ | $248.25 | — | -$248.25 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $244.88 | $489.75 | +$252.13 | |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 93.9¢ | $242.99 | $258.79 | +$15.8 | 42% 2132-2886 (5018) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $69.85 | $70.56 | +$0.71 | 98% 4560-95 (4655) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $49.78 | $48 | +$12.17 | 49% 3651-3756 (7407) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 83.6¢ | $42.78 | $45 | +$2.22 | 45% 1410-1758 (3168) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 86.8¢ | $41.25 | $39 | -$2.25 | 50% 4644-4696 (9340) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 71.5¢ | $43.41 | $60.73 | +$17.32 | 50% 1774-1809 (3583) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 79.3¢ | $44.95 | $56.69 | +$11.74 | 49% 2537-2616 (5153) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 54% 2739-2328 (5067) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 91.2¢ | $22.94 | $25 | +$2.06 | 40% 1760-2679 (4439) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $30.1 | $35.13 | +$5.03 | 52% 3909-3625 (7534) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $14.98 | $15 | +$0.02 | 53% 1627-1417 (3044) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 94.5¢ | $12.35 | $11.21 | -$1.14 | 65% 2855-1552 (4407) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $6.5 | — | -$6.5 | 51% 2213-2109 (4322) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 91.4¢ | $4.57 | $5 | +$0.43 | 62% 4692-2855 (7547) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $6.54 | $9.62 | +$3.08 | 48% 1516-1642 (3158) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $4.3 | $5 | +$0.7 | 48% 2553-2774 (5327) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.5¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 66% 4016-2029 (6045) |
Invested
$508.17
Value
$489.75
PnL
+$3.88
Record
54%
4282-3627 (7909)
Both legs:
Invested
$242.99
Value
$258.79
PnL
+$15.8
Record
42%
2132-2886 (5018)
Invested
$69.85
Value
$70.56
PnL
+$0.71
Record
98%
4560-95 (4655)
Invested
$49.78
Value
$48
PnL
+$12.17
Record
49%
3651-3756 (7407)
Invested
$42.78
Value
$45
PnL
+$2.22
Record
45%
1410-1758 (3168)
Invested
$41.25
Value
$39
PnL
-$2.25
Record
50%
4644-4696 (9340)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$43.41
Value
$60.73
PnL
+$17.32
Record
50%
1774-1809 (3583)
Invested
$44.95
Value
$56.69
PnL
+$11.74
Record
49%
2537-2616 (5153)
Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
54%
2739-2328 (5067)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$22.94
Value
$25
PnL
+$2.06
Record
40%
1760-2679 (4439)
Invested
$30.1
Value
$35.13
PnL
+$5.03
Record
52%
3909-3625 (7534)
Invested
$14.98
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.02
Record
53%
1627-1417 (3044)
Invested
$12.35
Value
$11.21
PnL
-$1.14
Record
65%
2855-1552 (4407)
Invested
$6.5
Value
—
PnL
-$6.5
Record
51%
2213-2109 (4322)
Invested
$4.57
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.43
Record
62%
4692-2855 (7547)
Invested
$6.54
Value
$9.62
PnL
+$3.08
Record
48%
1516-1642 (3158)
Invested
$4.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.7
Record
48%
2553-2774 (5327)
Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
66%
4016-2029 (6045)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $258.79
hoodquant
Up — $70.56
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $48
13897651
Up — $45
asdcaxz
Up — $39
cryingbabydicer87
Up — $60.73
uninformedfloww
Up — $56.69
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $25