Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 64%
1 arb excluded
$818.77
$31.28
Smart Money Signal
9 of 14 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $506.24 | $495.4 | +$0.71 | 54% 4282-3627 (7909) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.9¢ | $246.05 | — | -$242.39 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.3¢ | $249.17 | $495.4 | +$243.1 | |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $150 | $119 | +$16.78 | 52% 3909-3625 (7534) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 48.6¢ | $55.63 | $60.39 | +$4.76 | 50% 4644-4696 (9340) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 66.3¢ | $41.29 | $42.03 | +$0.74 | 54% 2739-2328 (5067) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 60.4¢ | $36.05 | $35 | -$1.05 | 45% 1410-1758 (3168) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $20.85 | $28.95 | +$8.1 | 50% 1774-1809 (3583) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 47.5¢ | $7.6 | $16 | +$8.4 | 43% 2435-3165 (5600) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $10.89 | $11 | +$0.11 | 98% 4560-95 (4655) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 75.6¢ | $11.14 | — | -$8.52 | 62% 4692-2855 (7547) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $0.9 | — | -$0.9 | 42% 2132-2886 (5018) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $3.12 | $6 | +$2.88 | 48% 2553-2774 (5327) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $0.6 | — | -$0.6 | 34% 1253-2460 (3713) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $1.4 | $5 | +$3.6 | 52% 3078-2785 (5863) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 40% 1760-2679 (4439) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.4¢ | $1.52 | — | -$1.52 | 50% 2877-2870 (5747) |
Invested
$506.24
Value
$495.4
PnL
+$0.71
Record
54%
4282-3627 (7909)
Both legs:
Invested
$150
Value
$119
PnL
+$16.78
Record
52%
3909-3625 (7534)
Invested
$55.63
Value
$60.39
PnL
+$4.76
Record
50%
4644-4696 (9340)
Invested
$41.29
Value
$42.03
PnL
+$0.74
Record
54%
2739-2328 (5067)
Invested
$36.05
Value
$35
PnL
-$1.05
Record
45%
1410-1758 (3168)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$20.85
Value
$28.95
PnL
+$8.1
Record
50%
1774-1809 (3583)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$7.6
Value
$16
PnL
+$8.4
Record
43%
2435-3165 (5600)
Invested
$10.89
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.11
Record
98%
4560-95 (4655)
Invested
$11.14
Value
—
PnL
-$8.52
Record
62%
4692-2855 (7547)
Invested
$0.9
Value
—
PnL
-$0.9
Record
42%
2132-2886 (5018)
Invested
$3.12
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.88
Record
48%
2553-2774 (5327)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.6
Value
—
PnL
-$0.6
Record
34%
1253-2460 (3713)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.6
Record
52%
3078-2785 (5863)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
40%
1760-2679 (4439)
Invested
$1.52
Value
—
PnL
-$1.52
Record
50%
2877-2870 (5747)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
Down — $119
asdcaxz
Down — $60.39
ply-pm2
Down — $42.03
13897651
Down — $35
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $28.95
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $16
hoodquant
Down — $11
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRUp — $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp — $0