Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Up 63%
1 arb excluded
$616.87
-$5.98
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $497.67 | -$1.33 | 54% 4250-3596 (7846) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $248.84 | $497.67 | +$248.67 | |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $61.36 | $61.98 | +$0.62 | 40% 1745-2665 (4410) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 73.6¢ | $30.07 | $24.88 | -$5.19 | 44% 1400-1752 (3152) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $16.2 | $20 | +$3.8 | 60% 4264-2896 (7160) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 66.5¢ | $16.4 | $10.33 | -$2.07 | 50% 4615-4686 (9301) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $1.52 | — | -$1.52 | 34% 1241-2451 (3692) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $1.02 | $2 | +$0.98 | 62% 4661-2837 (7498) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 36% 1496-2655 (4151) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 25.5¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 52% 3882-3606 (7488) |
Invested
$500
Value
$497.67
PnL
-$1.33
Record
54%
4250-3596 (7846)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$61.36
Value
$61.98
PnL
+$0.62
Record
40%
1745-2665 (4410)
Invested
$30.07
Value
$24.88
PnL
-$5.19
Record
44%
1400-1752 (3152)
Invested
$16.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.8
Record
60%
4264-2896 (7160)
Invested
$16.4
Value
$10.33
PnL
-$2.07
Record
50%
4615-4686 (9301)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.52
Value
—
PnL
-$1.52
Record
34%
1241-2451 (3692)
Invested
$1.02
Value
$2
PnL
+$0.98
Record
62%
4661-2837 (7498)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
36%
1496-2655 (4151)
Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
52%
3882-3606 (7488)