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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Resolved Down. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Up 42%

Total Value

$404.27

Combined PnL

-$544.09

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 12 top traders (42%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares619
Combined PnL-$550.67
Down7 traders
Total Value$404.27
Total Shares404
Combined PnL+$6.58
Up — 42%Down — 58%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$507.64

Value

—

PnL

-$501.8

Record

54%

4250-3596 (7846)

HO
hoodquant
Down

Invested

$159.6

Value

$161.21

PnL

+$1.61

Record

98%

4530-94 (4624)

SO
soswald1
Down

Invested

$150

Value

$145

PnL

+$1.6

Record

52%

3882-3606 (7488)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$31.72

Value

$35.51

PnL

+$3.8

Record

44%

1400-1752 (3152)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Down

Invested

$29.7

Value

$30

PnL

+$0.3

Record

51%

2193-2101 (4294)

AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$21.7

Value

—

PnL

-$17.3

Record

50%

4615-4686 (9301)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$15.55

Value

$15

PnL

-$0.55

Record

48%

2561-2807 (5368)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$13.97

Value

—

PnL

-$13.97

Record

54%

2727-2307 (5034)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$11.47

Value

$11.54

PnL

+$0.23

Record

62%

4661-2837 (7498)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$6.42

Value

$6

PnL

-$0.42

Record

66%

3992-2014 (6006)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$17.55

Value

—

PnL

-$17.55

Record

49%

2514-2591 (5105)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

36%

1496-2655 (4151)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x2a060ee3...fc4307
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794765900

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$501.8
HO

hoodquant

Down — $161.21

+$1.61
SO

soswald1

Down — $145

+$1.6
13

13897651

Down — $35.51

+$3.8
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $30

+$0.3
AS

asdcaxz

CTR

Up — $0

-$17.3
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $15

-$0.55
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$13.97
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $11.54

+$0.23
AS

asdaefef

Down — $6

-$0.42
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