Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Up 88%
2 arb excluded
$1.9K
$37.31
Smart Money Signal
15 of 17 top traders (88%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.9¢ | $513.29 | $500 | -$7.2 | 54% 4250-3596 (7846) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.7¢ | $253.7 | — | -$253.7 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.9¢ | $254.5 | $500 | +$246.5 | |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 97.7¢ | $597.97 | $612 | +$14.03 | 42% 2109-2870 (4979) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 97.8¢ | $296.89 | $303.6 | +$6.71 | 34% 1241-2451 (3692) |
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $150 | $150 | +$10.35 | 52% 3882-3606 (7488) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $75 | $150 | +$75 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $60 | — | -$64.65 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98¢ | $152.88 | $156 | +$3.12 | 98% 4530-94 (4624) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $59 | $50 | -$9 | 54% 2727-2307 (5034) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 61.8¢ | $16.25 | $26.29 | +$10.04 | 43% 2420-3146 (5566) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 86.3¢ | $15.51 | $17.97 | +$2.46 | 40% 1745-2665 (4410) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 72.3¢ | $18 | $20.74 | +$2.74 | 50% 4615-4686 (9301) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $10.35 | $15.68 | +$5.33 | 48% 2538-2754 (5292) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 95.7¢ | $18.69 | $11.64 | -$7.05 | 44% 1400-1752 (3152) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 56.6¢ | $11.52 | $20.05 | +$8.53 | 49% 3629-3731 (7360) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $23.75 | $25 | +$1.25 | 49% 2514-2591 (5105) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $6.2 | $10 | +$3.8 | 47% 2455-2714 (5169) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $4.84 | — | -$4.84 | 36% 1496-2655 (4151) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $6.94 | $7.3 | +$0.37 | 51% 1669-1583 (3252) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $4.8 | $5 | +$0.2 | 52% 3060-2773 (5833) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $2.5 | $2.13 | -$0.07 | 62% 4661-2837 (7498) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 60% 4264-2896 (7160) |
Invested
$513.29
Value
$500
PnL
-$7.2
Record
54%
4250-3596 (7846)
Both legs:
Invested
$597.97
Value
$612
PnL
+$14.03
Record
42%
2109-2870 (4979)
pspspsps5Invested
$296.89
Value
$303.6
PnL
+$6.71
Record
34%
1241-2451 (3692)
Invested
$150
Value
$150
PnL
+$10.35
Record
52%
3882-3606 (7488)
Both legs:
Invested
$152.88
Value
$156
PnL
+$3.12
Record
98%
4530-94 (4624)
Invested
$59
Value
$50
PnL
-$9
Record
54%
2727-2307 (5034)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$16.25
Value
$26.29
PnL
+$10.04
Record
43%
2420-3146 (5566)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$15.51
Value
$17.97
PnL
+$2.46
Record
40%
1745-2665 (4410)
Invested
$18
Value
$20.74
PnL
+$2.74
Record
50%
4615-4686 (9301)
Invested
$10.35
Value
$15.68
PnL
+$5.33
Record
48%
2538-2754 (5292)
Invested
$18.69
Value
$11.64
PnL
-$7.05
Record
44%
1400-1752 (3152)
Invested
$11.52
Value
$20.05
PnL
+$8.53
Record
49%
3629-3731 (7360)
Invested
$23.75
Value
$25
PnL
+$1.25
Record
49%
2514-2591 (5105)
ohioism<$100Invested
$6.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.8
Record
47%
2455-2714 (5169)
Invested
$4.84
Value
—
PnL
-$4.84
Record
36%
1496-2655 (4151)
Invested
$6.94
Value
$7.3
PnL
+$0.37
Record
51%
1669-1583 (3252)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.2
Record
52%
3060-2773 (5833)
Invested
$2.5
Value
$2.13
PnL
-$0.07
Record
62%
4661-2837 (7498)
Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
60%
4264-2896 (7160)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $612
pspspsps5
Up — $303.6
soswald1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $156
ply-pm2
Up — $50
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $26.29
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $17.97
asdcaxz
Up — $20.74
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $15.68