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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 67%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$717.03

Combined PnL

$6.34

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 9 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$77.03

Total Shares77

Combined PnL+$8.83

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares19

Combined PnL-$2.49

Up — 67%Down — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.4¢	$511.69	$500.01	-$3.3	54% 4218-3562 (7780)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.9¢	$249.5	—	-$251.8
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.4¢	$252.16	$500.01	+$248.5
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$150	$140	-$2.9	52% 3858-3579 (7437)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$72.5	—	-$73.3
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$70	$140	+$70.4
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 60¢	$32.35	$34.99	+$2.65	50% 4592-4670 (9262)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 61.2¢	$11.71	$13.85	+$2.14	44% 1390-1746 (3136)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 79.9¢	$9.45	$11.83	+$2.38	54% 2708-2292 (5000)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 88¢	$7.34	$6	-$0.74	62% 4631-2815 (7446)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 57¢	$3.15	$5.35	+$2.2	40% 1734-2647 (4381)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 96¢	$4.8	$5	+$0.2	67% 3966-1997 (5963)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 18.2¢	$1.09	—	-$1.09	42% 2086-2846 (4932)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 12.5¢	$1.38	—	-$1.38	49% 1742-1781 (3523)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.02	—	-$0.02	49% 3629-3730 (7359)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$511.69

Value

$500.01

PnL

-$3.3

Record

54%

4218-3562 (7780)

Both legs:

Down$249.549.9¢-$251.8

Up$252.1650.4¢+$248.5

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$150

Value

$140

PnL

-$2.9

Record

52%

3858-3579 (7437)

Both legs:

Down$72.550¢-$73.3

Up$7050¢+$70.4

Invested

$32.35

Value

$34.99

PnL

+$2.65

Record

50%

4592-4670 (9262)

Invested

$11.71

Value

$13.85

PnL

+$2.14

Record

44%

1390-1746 (3136)

Invested

$9.45

Value

$11.83

PnL

+$2.38

Record

54%

2708-2292 (5000)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$7.34

Value

$6

PnL

-$0.74

Record

62%

4631-2815 (7446)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$3.15

Value

$5.35

PnL

+$2.2

Record

40%

1734-2647 (4381)

Invested

$4.8

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.2

Record

67%

3966-1997 (5963)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$1.09

Value

—

PnL

-$1.09

Record

42%

2086-2846 (4932)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$1.38

Value

—

PnL

-$1.38

Record

49%

1742-1781 (3523)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$0.02

Value

—

PnL

-$0.02

Record

49%

3629-3730 (7359)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 9 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x8218ef73...d515fe

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794762900

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

asdcaxz

Up — $34.99

13897651

Up — $13.85

ply-pm2

Up — $11.83

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $6

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $5.35

asdaefef

Up — $5

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

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