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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 73%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$841.41

Combined PnL

$10.51

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$346.41

Total Shares346

Combined PnL+$14.47

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares49

Combined PnL-$3.96

Up — 73%Down — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$500.96	$495	-$3.51	54% 4218-3562 (7780)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$250.96	—	-$250.96
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$247.5	$495	+$247.45
SO soswald1	Upavg 50¢	$150	$150	+$0	52% 3858-3579 (7437)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 98.7¢	$83.75	$84.84	+$1.09	40% 1734-2647 (4381)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 62.9¢	$32.62	$29.91	-$2.71	44% 1390-1746 (3136)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 95¢	$20.86	$21.96	+$1.1	34% 1232-2436 (3668)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Upavg 99.9¢	$20.33	$20.35	+$0.02	53% 1595-1405 (3000)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 50¢	$15.5	$31	+$15.5	51% 2181-2090 (4271)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 77¢	$5.75	$4.35	-$1.4	54% 2708-2292 (5000)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 51¢	$3.12	$4	+$0.88	62% 4631-2815 (7446)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 23.1¢	$1.9	—	-$1.9	49% 1742-1781 (3523)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 6¢	$0.36	—	-$0.36	42% 2086-2846 (4932)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 4.9¢	$1.7	—	-$1.7	50% 4592-4670 (9262)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$500.96

Value

$495

PnL

-$3.51

Record

54%

4218-3562 (7780)

Both legs:

Down$250.9650¢-$250.96

Up$247.550¢+$247.45

Invested

$150

Value

$150

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

3858-3579 (7437)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$83.75

Value

$84.84

PnL

+$1.09

Record

40%

1734-2647 (4381)

Invested

$32.62

Value

$29.91

PnL

-$2.71

Record

44%

1390-1746 (3136)

Invested

$20.86

Value

$21.96

PnL

+$1.1

Record

34%

1232-2436 (3668)

Invested

$20.33

Value

$20.35

PnL

+$0.02

Record

53%

1595-1405 (3000)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$15.5

Value

$31

PnL

+$15.5

Record

51%

2181-2090 (4271)

Invested

$5.75

Value

$4.35

PnL

-$1.4

Record

54%

2708-2292 (5000)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$3.12

Value

$4

PnL

+$0.88

Record

62%

4631-2815 (7446)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$1.9

Value

—

PnL

-$1.9

Record

49%

1742-1781 (3523)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$0.36

Value

—

PnL

-$0.36

Record

42%

2086-2846 (4932)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$1.7

Value

—

PnL

-$1.7

Record

50%

4592-4670 (9262)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x71c491e9...3daca3

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794761700

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Up — $150

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $84.84

13897651

Up — $29.91

pspspsps5

Up — $21.96

0x50f7

Up — $20.35

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $31

ply-pm2

Up — $4.35

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $4

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

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