Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Down 50%
1 arb excluded
$605.42
-$10.64
Smart Money Signal
6 of 12 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.6Β’ | $509 | $500 | +$1.9 | 54% 4218-3562 (7780) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.6Β’ | $252.84 | $500 | +$250.2 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 49.7Β’ | $243.64 | β | -$248.3 | |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 80.9Β’ | $41.44 | $39.2 | -$2.24 | 44% 1390-1746 (3136) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 82Β’ | $33.7 | $35.11 | +$1.41 | 50% 4592-4670 (9262) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 77.4Β’ | $16.32 | $21.09 | +$4.77 | 54% 2708-2292 (5000) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 95Β’ | $4.75 | $5 | +$0.25 | 67% 3966-1997 (5963) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 78.5Β’ | $3.16 | $4.02 | +$0.86 | 62% 4631-2815 (7446) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 21Β’ | $1.26 | β | -$1.26 | 42% 2086-2846 (4932) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 21.3Β’ | $1.75 | β | -$1.75 | 49% 1742-1781 (3523) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.8Β’ | $5.71 | β | -$5.71 | 48% 2440-2688 (5128) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 29Β’ | $4.5 | β | -$4.5 | 49% 2495-2563 (5058) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 87Β’ | $0.87 | $1 | +$0.13 | 60% 4239-2880 (7119) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 36% 1488-2638 (4126) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 17Β’ | $2.55 | β | -$2.55 | 48% 2544-2786 (5330) |
Invested
$509
Value
$500
PnL
+$1.9
Record
54%
4218-3562 (7780)
Both legs:
Invested
$41.44
Value
$39.2
PnL
-$2.24
Record
44%
1390-1746 (3136)
Invested
$33.7
Value
$35.11
PnL
+$1.41
Record
50%
4592-4670 (9262)
Invested
$16.32
Value
$21.09
PnL
+$4.77
Record
54%
2708-2292 (5000)
Invested
$4.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.25
Record
67%
3966-1997 (5963)
Invested
$3.16
Value
$4.02
PnL
+$0.86
Record
62%
4631-2815 (7446)
Invested
$1.26
Value
β
PnL
-$1.26
Record
42%
2086-2846 (4932)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.75
Value
β
PnL
-$1.75
Record
49%
1742-1781 (3523)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$5.71
Value
β
PnL
-$5.71
Record
48%
2440-2688 (5128)
Invested
$4.5
Value
β
PnL
-$4.5
Record
49%
2495-2563 (5058)
Invested
$0.87
Value
$1
PnL
+$0.13
Record
60%
4239-2880 (7119)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
36%
1488-2638 (4126)
Invested
$2.55
Value
β
PnL
-$2.55
Record
48%
2544-2786 (5330)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
13897651
Down β $39.2
asdcaxz
Down β $35.11
ply-pm2
Down β $21.09
asdaefef
Down β $5
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $4.02
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp β $0

cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp β $0

ohioism
CTRUp β $0
uninformedfloww
CTRUp β $0