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DownUpUpDownUpDownUp
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Down 50%
Total Value
$119.56
Combined PnL
-$553.15
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares573
Combined PnL-$540.24
Up4 traders
Total Value$119.56
Total Shares120
Combined PnL-$12.91
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.6¢ | $516.23 | — | -$486.81 | 54% 4218-3562 (7780) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $72.5 | $50 | -$22.5 | 54% 2708-2292 (5000) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 55.5¢ | $38.93 | $46.19 | +$7.26 | 44% 1390-1746 (3136) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $34.6 | — | -$34.6 | 52% 3858-3579 (7437) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 87.2¢ | $17.09 | $13.37 | -$2.47 | 62% 4631-2815 (7446) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 45.7¢ | $13.49 | — | -$13.49 | 60% 4239-2880 (7119) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $5.2 | $10 | +$4.8 | 50% 4592-4670 (9262) |
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 53.5¢ | $5.35 | — | -$5.35 | 40% 1734-2647 (4381) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$516.23
Value
—
PnL
-$486.81
Record
54%
4218-3562 (7780)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$72.5
Value
$50
PnL
-$22.5
Record
54%
2708-2292 (5000)
13
13897651<$100Invested
$38.93
Value
$46.19
PnL
+$7.26
Record
44%
1390-1746 (3136)
SO
soswald1CTR<$100Invested
$34.6
Value
—
PnL
-$34.6
Record
52%
3858-3579 (7437)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$17.09
Value
$13.37
PnL
-$2.47
Record
62%
4631-2815 (7446)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$13.49
Value
—
PnL
-$13.49
Record
60%
4239-2880 (7119)
AS
asdcaxz<$100Invested
$5.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.8
Record
50%
4592-4670 (9262)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$5.35
Value
—
PnL
-$5.35
Record
40%
1734-2647 (4381)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5cde9fed...a556d2
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794760800