Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Down 54%

Total Value

$76.09

Combined PnL

-$546.89

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 13 top traders (54%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares603
Combined PnL-$556.05
Up6 traders
Total Value$76.09
Total Shares76
Combined PnL+$9.16
Down — 54%Up — 46%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$509.95

Value

—

PnL

-$495.1

Record

54%

4162-3504 (7666)

SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$27.5

Value

$25.13

PnL

-$0.47

Record

52%

3806-3541 (7347)

AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$23

Value

—

PnL

-$23

Record

50%

4548-4636 (9184)

13
13897651CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$13.28

Value

—

PnL

-$13.28

Record

44%

1373-1733 (3106)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$5.4

Value

$15

PnL

+$9.6

Record

48%

2407-2652 (5059)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$14.61

Value

$12

PnL

-$1.41

Record

62%

4574-2778 (7352)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$12.86

Value

$9

PnL

-$3.86

Record

66%

3908-1973 (5881)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$7.92

Value

$8

PnL

+$0.08

Record

98%

4434-91 (4525)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.85

Value

—

PnL

-$3.85

Record

48%

2509-2762 (5271)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$1.74

Value

$6.96

PnL

+$5.22

Record

40%

1709-2617 (4326)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.9

Value

—

PnL

-$1.9

Record

49%

2456-2514 (4970)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2

Value

—

PnL

-$2

Record

44%

2374-3081 (5455)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$30.39

Value

—

PnL

-$16.92

Record

54%

2675-2263 (4938)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x4ebddfdc...0f7572
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794755700

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$495.1
SO

soswald1

Up — $25.13

-$0.47
AS

asdcaxz

CTR

Down — $0

-$23
13

13897651

CTR

Down — $0

-$13.28

ohioism

Up — $15

+$9.6
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $12

-$1.41
AS

asdaefef

Up — $9

-$3.86
HO

hoodquant

Up — $8

+$0.08
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.85

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $6.96

+$5.22
Trade on Polymarket