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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Resolved Up. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 40%

Total Value

$99.62

Combined PnL

-$640.55

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 11 top traders (36%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares665
Combined PnL-$652.75
Up7 traders
Total Value$99.62
Total Shares100
Combined PnL+$12.2
Down — 36%Up — 64%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

54%

4162-3504 (7666)

SO
soswald1CTR
Down

Invested

$150

Value

—

PnL

-$150

Record

52%

3806-3541 (7347)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$32.06

Value

$35

PnL

+$2.94

Record

44%

1373-1733 (3106)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$20.67

Value

$26.47

PnL

+$5.8

Record

54%

2675-2263 (4938)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$15.64

Value

$17.57

PnL

+$1.93

Record

40%

1709-2617 (4326)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$9.84

Value

$9.94

PnL

+$0.1

Record

98%

4434-91 (4525)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$5.31

Value

$6.21

PnL

+$0.89

Record

49%

3600-3701 (7301)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$3.48

Value

$4

PnL

+$0.52

Record

62%

4574-2778 (7352)

AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.55

Value

—

PnL

-$2.55

Record

50%

4548-4636 (9184)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.2

Value

—

PnL

-$0.2

Record

34%

1215-2411 (3626)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$0.41

Value

$0.43

PnL

+$0.02

Record

60%

4192-2848 (7040)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x4e9a64ad...ef3cf1
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794754200

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$500
SO

soswald1

CTR

Down — $0

-$150
13

13897651

Up — $35

+$2.94
PL

ply-pm2

Up — $26.47

+$5.8

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $17.57

+$1.93
HO

hoodquant

Up — $9.94

+$0.1
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $6.21

+$0.89
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $4

+$0.52
AS

asdcaxz

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.55

pspspsps5

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.2
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