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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Resolved Down. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Up 45%

Total Value

$169.78

Combined PnL

-$686.44

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 12 top traders (42%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares741
Combined PnL-$686.47
Down7 traders
Total Value$169.78
Total Shares170
Combined PnL+$0.03
Up — 42%Down — 58%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$529.53

Value

—

PnL

-$483.17

Record

54%

4094-3445 (7539)

SO
soswald1CTR
Up

Invested

$152.45

Value

—

PnL

-$137.05

Record

52%

3756-3495 (7251)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Down

Invested

$75.5

Value

$71.03

PnL

-$4.47

Record

50%

4512-4591 (9103)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$58.95

Value

—

PnL

-$58.95

Record

54%

2644-2228 (4872)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$52.01

Value

$49.65

PnL

-$2.36

Record

44%

1363-1710 (3073)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$18.8

Value

$16.67

PnL

-$2.13

Record

49%

3552-3629 (7181)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$13.13

Value

$11.27

PnL

-$1.72

Record

62%

4514-2735 (7249)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Down

Invested

$4.8

Value

$10

PnL

+$5.2

Record

48%

2455-2651 (5106)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$4.69

Value

$10.19

PnL

+$5.5

Record

48%

2474-2726 (5200)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.8

Value

—

PnL

-$3.8

Record

39%

1683-2580 (4263)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.5

Value

—

PnL

-$3.5

Record

67%

3861-1939 (5800)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Down

Invested

$0.97

Value

$0.98

PnL

+$0.01

Record

98%

4362-90 (4452)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x61be2121...ceff4c
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794748500

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$483.17
SO

soswald1

CTR

Up — $0

-$137.05
AS

asdcaxz

Down — $71.03

-$4.47
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$58.95
13

13897651

Down — $49.65

-$2.36
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $16.67

-$2.13
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $11.27

-$1.72
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $10

+$5.2
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $10.19

+$5.5

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Up — $0

-$3.8
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