Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Up 73%
1 arb excluded
$642.91
-$1.02
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.3Β’ | $501.6 | $499.46 | -$1.69 | 54% 4094-3445 (7539) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $249.73 | $499.46 | +$249.91 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.3Β’ | $251.6 | β | -$251.6 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 82.7Β’ | $51.66 | $50.36 | -$1.3 | 49% 3552-3629 (7181) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 83Β’ | $24.9 | $30 | +$5.1 | 52% 3756-3495 (7251) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 91.3Β’ | $25.91 | $24.33 | -$1.58 | 44% 1363-1710 (3073) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 89Β’ | $10.52 | $11.82 | +$1.3 | 54% 2644-2228 (4872) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 83Β’ | $17.16 | $9.89 | -$2.62 | 50% 4512-4591 (9103) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 85.9Β’ | $6.06 | $7.06 | +$1 | 62% 4514-2735 (7249) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 73Β’ | $5.28 | $5 | -$0.28 | 67% 3861-1939 (5800) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 84Β’ | $4.2 | $5 | +$0.8 | 49% 2434-2485 (4919) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 25Β’ | $2.75 | β | -$2.5 | 60% 4136-2815 (6951) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 17Β’ | $0.85 | β | -$0.85 | 42% 2015-2741 (4756) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 8Β’ | $0.09 | β | -$0.09 | 34% 1202-2379 (3581) |
Invested
$501.6
Value
$499.46
PnL
-$1.69
Record
54%
4094-3445 (7539)
Both legs:
Invested
$51.66
Value
$50.36
PnL
-$1.3
Record
49%
3552-3629 (7181)
Invested
$24.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$5.1
Record
52%
3756-3495 (7251)
Invested
$25.91
Value
$24.33
PnL
-$1.58
Record
44%
1363-1710 (3073)
Invested
$10.52
Value
$11.82
PnL
+$1.3
Record
54%
2644-2228 (4872)
Invested
$17.16
Value
$9.89
PnL
-$2.62
Record
50%
4512-4591 (9103)
Invested
$6.06
Value
$7.06
PnL
+$1
Record
62%
4514-2735 (7249)
Invested
$5.28
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.28
Record
67%
3861-1939 (5800)
Invested
$4.2
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.8
Record
49%
2434-2485 (4919)
Invested
$2.75
Value
β
PnL
-$2.5
Record
60%
4136-2815 (6951)
Invested
$0.85
Value
β
PnL
-$0.85
Record
42%
2015-2741 (4756)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.09
Value
β
PnL
-$0.09
Record
34%
1202-2379 (3581)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $50.36
soswald1
Up β $30
13897651
Up β $24.33
ply-pm2
Up β $11.82
asdcaxz
Up β $9.89
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $7.06
asdaefef
Up β $5
uninformedfloww
Up β $5
aaa221
CTRDown β $0