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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Up 58%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$839.1

Combined PnL

-$11.17

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 12 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$343.99

Total Shares344

Combined PnL-$0.39

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares53

Combined PnL-$10.77

Up — 58%Down — 42%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$504.45	$495.11	-$0.64	54% 4094-3445 (7539)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.4¢	$249.41	$495.11	+$249.36
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$250	—	-$250
SO soswald1	Upavg 50¢	$150	$150	+$0	52% 3756-3495 (7251)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$80.35	$81.16	+$0.81	98% 4362-90 (4452)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 87.3¢	$40.05	$45.89	+$5.84	49% 2434-2485 (4919)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 89¢	$33.46	$31.94	-$1.52	44% 1363-1710 (3073)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 87.3¢	$28.61	$15.27	-$4.29	50% 4512-4591 (9103)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 92¢	$13.1	$10.73	-$2.37	60% 4136-2815 (6951)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 76¢	$7.86	$9	+$1.14	49% 3552-3629 (7181)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 52¢	$5.53	—	-$5.53	51% 2128-2037 (4165)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 28¢	$1.94	—	-$1.94	54% 2644-2228 (4872)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 16¢	$0.38	—	-$0.38	42% 2015-2741 (4756)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 7.5¢	$0.16	—	-$0.16	34% 1202-2379 (3581)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 8.9¢	$2.76	—	-$2.76	39% 1683-2580 (4263)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$504.45

Value

$495.11

PnL

-$0.64

Record

54%

4094-3445 (7539)

Both legs:

Up$249.4150.4¢+$249.36

Down$25050¢-$250

Invested

$150

Value

$150

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

3756-3495 (7251)

Invested

$80.35

Value

$81.16

PnL

+$0.81

Record

98%

4362-90 (4452)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$40.05

Value

$45.89

PnL

+$5.84

Record

49%

2434-2485 (4919)

Invested

$33.46

Value

$31.94

PnL

-$1.52

Record

44%

1363-1710 (3073)

Invested

$28.61

Value

$15.27

PnL

-$4.29

Record

50%

4512-4591 (9103)

Invested

$13.1

Value

$10.73

PnL

-$2.37

Record

60%

4136-2815 (6951)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$7.86

Value

$9

PnL

+$1.14

Record

49%

3552-3629 (7181)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$5.53

Value

—

PnL

-$5.53

Record

51%

2128-2037 (4165)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$1.94

Value

—

PnL

-$1.94

Record

54%

2644-2228 (4872)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$0.38

Value

—

PnL

-$0.38

Record

42%

2015-2741 (4756)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.16

Value

—

PnL

-$0.16

Record

34%

1202-2379 (3581)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$2.76

Value

—

PnL

-$2.76

Record

39%

1683-2580 (4263)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 12 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xd11ab055...235f3e

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794747600

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Up — $150

hoodquant

Up — $81.16

uninformedfloww

Up — $45.89

13897651

Up — $31.94

asdcaxz

Up — $15.27

aaa221

Up — $10.73

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $9

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $0

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