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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

Total Value

$195.38

Combined PnL

-$620.81

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares661

Combined PnL-$626.01

Down4 traders

Total Value$195.38

Total Shares195

Combined PnL+$5.19

Up — 56%Down — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50.6¢	$515.82	—	-$503.5	54% 4094-3445 (7539)
PL ply-pm2	Downavg 89.6¢	$172.19	$167.03	-$5.16	54% 2644-2228 (4872)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 62.4¢	$50.12	—	-$50.12	50% 4512-4591 (9103)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Upavg 65.6¢	$39.24	—	-$39.24	44% 1363-1710 (3073)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 52.3¢	$18.34	—	-$18.34	49% 3552-3629 (7181)
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Upavg 54¢	$14.81	—	-$14.81	52% 3756-3495 (7251)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 96.2¢	$15.36	$12.35	-$3.01	62% 4514-2735 (7249)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 19¢	$1.14	$6	+$4.86	42% 2015-2741 (4756)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 15¢	$1.5	$10	+$8.5	39% 1683-2580 (4263)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$515.82

Value

—

PnL

-$503.5

Record

54%

4094-3445 (7539)

Invested

$172.19

Value

$167.03

PnL

-$5.16

Record

54%

2644-2228 (4872)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$50.12

Value

—

PnL

-$50.12

Record

50%

4512-4591 (9103)

13897651CTR<$100

Invested

$39.24

Value

—

PnL

-$39.24

Record

44%

1363-1710 (3073)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$18.34

Value

—

PnL

-$18.34

Record

49%

3552-3629 (7181)

soswald1CTR<$100

Invested

$14.81

Value

—

PnL

-$14.81

Record

52%

3756-3495 (7251)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$15.36

Value

$12.35

PnL

-$3.01

Record

62%

4514-2735 (7249)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$1.14

Value

$6

PnL

+$4.86

Record

42%

2015-2741 (4756)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$1.5

Value

$10

PnL

+$8.5

Record

39%

1683-2580 (4263)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x75e0fe76...903e3e

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794746700

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $167.03

asdcaxz

Up — $0

13897651

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

soswald1

Up — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $12.35

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $6

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $10

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