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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Up 62%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$849.35

Combined PnL

-$52.24

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 13 top traders (62%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares126

Combined PnL-$112.71

Up8 traders

Total Value$109.37

Total Shares109

Combined PnL+$60.47

Down — 38%Up — 62%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.7¢	$501	$505.47	+$13.37	54% 4094-3445 (7539)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$245	—	-$241.1
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.7¢	$251	$505.47	+$254.47
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$150	$120	-$21.95	52% 3756-3495 (7251)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$70	—	-$71.9
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$60	$120	+$49.95
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 81.8¢	$47.71	$114.5	+$66.79	54% 2644-2228 (4872)
└ Up leg	Upavg 20.1¢	$23.01	$114.5	+$91.49
└ Down leg	Downavg 81.8¢	$24.7	—	-$24.7
13 13897651CTR<$100	Downavg 62.4¢	$24.49	—	-$24.49	44% 1363-1710 (3073)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 78.3¢	$30.06	—	-$30.06	49% 3552-3629 (7181)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 69¢	$15.89	—	-$15.89	60% 4136-2815 (6951)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 31.4¢	$3.63	$11.58	+$7.95	67% 3861-1939 (5800)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 77¢	$12.64	—	-$10.57	50% 4512-4591 (9103)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 18.1¢	$1.81	$10	+$8.19	44% 2349-3036 (5385)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 11.2¢	$2.8	$25	+$22.2	48% 2455-2651 (5106)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$24.75	$25	+$0.25	98% 4362-90 (4452)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 31¢	$1.98	$6.39	+$4.41	65% 2731-1490 (4221)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 18.1¢	$3.78	$11.47	+$7.69	62% 4514-2735 (7249)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 19.3¢	$2.32	$12.03	+$9.71	50% 2760-2748 (5508)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 99¢	$7.83	$7.91	+$0.08	51% 2128-2037 (4165)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 88.7¢	$31.7	—	-$31.7	50% 1714-1745 (3459)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$501

Value

$505.47

PnL

+$13.37

Record

54%

4094-3445 (7539)

Both legs:

Down$24550¢-$241.1

Up$25149.7¢+$254.47

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$150

Value

$120

PnL

-$21.95

Record

52%

3756-3495 (7251)

Both legs:

Down$7050¢-$71.9

Up$6050¢+$49.95

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$47.71

Value

$114.5

PnL

+$66.79

Record

54%

2644-2228 (4872)

Both legs:

Up$23.0120.1¢+$91.49

Down$24.781.8¢-$24.7

13897651CTR<$100

Invested

$24.49

Value

—

PnL

-$24.49

Record

44%

1363-1710 (3073)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$30.06

Value

—

PnL

-$30.06

Record

49%

3552-3629 (7181)

Invested

$15.89

Value

—

PnL

-$15.89

Record

60%

4136-2815 (6951)

Invested

$3.63

Value

$11.58

PnL

+$7.95

Record

67%

3861-1939 (5800)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$12.64

Value

—

PnL

-$10.57

Record

50%

4512-4591 (9103)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$1.81

Value

$10

PnL

+$8.19

Record

44%

2349-3036 (5385)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$2.8

Value

$25

PnL

+$22.2

Record

48%

2455-2651 (5106)

Invested

$24.75

Value

$25

PnL

+$0.25

Record

98%

4362-90 (4452)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$1.98

Value

$6.39

PnL

+$4.41

Record

65%

2731-1490 (4221)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$3.78

Value

$11.47

PnL

+$7.69

Record

62%

4514-2735 (7249)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$2.32

Value

$12.03

PnL

+$9.71

Record

50%

2760-2748 (5508)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$7.83

Value

$7.91

PnL

+$0.08

Record

51%

2128-2037 (4165)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$31.7

Value

—

PnL

-$31.7

Record

50%

1714-1745 (3459)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 13 top traders (62%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x3f0eb7d0...b3af1c

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794746400

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

13897651

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

aaa221

Down — $0

asdaefef

Up — $11.58

asdcaxz

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $10

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $25

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