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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Resolved Up. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 44%

Total Value

$207.63

Combined PnL

-$494.8

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares528

Combined PnL-$509.68

Up5 traders

Total Value$207.63

Total Shares208

Combined PnL+$14.88

Down — 44%Up — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 49.7¢	$505.5	—	-$497.93	54% 4065-3413 (7478)
SO soswald1	Upavg 50.2¢	$152.8	$155	+$5.6	52% 3730-3475 (7205)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 49.5¢	$16.2	$20	+$3.8	50% 4510-4587 (9097)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 62.5¢	$18.01	$18	-$0.01	49% 3541-3613 (7154)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Downavg 47.8¢	$10.57	—	-$10.57	44% 1359-1698 (3057)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 52¢	$5.53	$10.63	+$5.1	54% 2631-2208 (4839)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 90¢	$3.6	$4	+$0.4	62% 4490-2713 (7203)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 50¢	$1	—	-$1	51% 2104-2030 (4134)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$0.18	—	-$0.18	33% 1191-2369 (3560)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$505.5

Value

—

PnL

-$497.93

Record

54%

4065-3413 (7478)

Invested

$152.8

Value

$155

PnL

+$5.6

Record

52%

3730-3475 (7205)

Invested

$16.2

Value

$20

PnL

+$3.8

Record

50%

4510-4587 (9097)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$18.01

Value

$18

PnL

-$0.01

Record

49%

3541-3613 (7154)

13897651CTR<$100

Invested

$10.57

Value

—

PnL

-$10.57

Record

44%

1359-1698 (3057)

Invested

$5.53

Value

$10.63

PnL

+$5.1

Record

54%

2631-2208 (4839)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$3.6

Value

$4

PnL

+$0.4

Record

62%

4490-2713 (7203)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$1

Value

—

PnL

-$1

Record

51%

2104-2030 (4134)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.18

Value

—

PnL

-$0.18

Record

33%

1191-2369 (3560)

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xbd794cef...5b7656

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794745200

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

soswald1

Up — $155

asdcaxz

Up — $20

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $18

13897651

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Up — $10.63

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $4

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $0

pspspsps5

Down — $0

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