Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Up 58%
1 arb excluded
$709.8
-$82.55
Smart Money Signal
8 of 13 top traders (62%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50Β’ | $507.98 | $496.48 | -$0.77 | 54% 4065-3413 (7478) |
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $150 | $145 | -$1.32 | 52% 3730-3475 (7205) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $72.5 | $145 | +$71.9 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $72.55 | β | -$73.22 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 45Β’ | $56.37 | β | -$53.64 | 49% 3541-3613 (7154) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 43.1Β’ | $15.58 | $19 | +$3.42 | 50% 4510-4587 (9097) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 90Β’ | $23.68 | $18.09 | -$1.44 | 62% 4490-2713 (7203) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 82.6Β’ | $22.51 | $16.01 | -$6.5 | 44% 1359-1698 (3057) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 76Β’ | $5.4 | $7.1 | +$1.7 | 33% 1191-2369 (3560) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 77.8Β’ | $79.57 | $3.11 | -$16.92 | 54% 2631-2208 (4839) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 35Β’ | $1.75 | $5 | +$3.25 | 39% 1668-2567 (4235) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 19Β’ | $1.33 | β | -$1.33 | 49% 1701-1739 (3440) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 22Β’ | $4.65 | β | -$4.65 | 48% 2459-2704 (5163) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.4Β’ | $4.29 | β | -$4.29 | 48% 2357-2599 (4956) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 32.1Β’ | $1.86 | $0.01 | +$1.9 | 46% 3188-3736 (6924) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 22Β’ | $3.3 | β | -$3.3 | 44% 2338-3018 (5356) |
Invested
$507.98
Value
$496.48
PnL
-$0.77
Record
54%
4065-3413 (7478)
Invested
$150
Value
$145
PnL
-$1.32
Record
52%
3730-3475 (7205)
Both legs:
Invested
$56.37
Value
β
PnL
-$53.64
Record
49%
3541-3613 (7154)
Invested
$15.58
Value
$19
PnL
+$3.42
Record
50%
4510-4587 (9097)
Invested
$23.68
Value
$18.09
PnL
-$1.44
Record
62%
4490-2713 (7203)
Invested
$22.51
Value
$16.01
PnL
-$6.5
Record
44%
1359-1698 (3057)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$5.4
Value
$7.1
PnL
+$1.7
Record
33%
1191-2369 (3560)
Invested
$79.57
Value
$3.11
PnL
-$16.92
Record
54%
2631-2208 (4839)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$1.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.25
Record
39%
1668-2567 (4235)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
β
PnL
-$1.33
Record
49%
1701-1739 (3440)
Invested
$4.65
Value
β
PnL
-$4.65
Record
48%
2459-2704 (5163)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4.29
Value
β
PnL
-$4.29
Record
48%
2357-2599 (4956)
Invested
$1.86
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$1.9
Record
46%
3188-3736 (6924)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.3
Value
β
PnL
-$3.3
Record
44%
2338-3018 (5356)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Up β $496.48
soswald1
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown β $0
asdcaxz
Up β $19
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $18.09
13897651
Up β $16.01

pspspsps5
Up β $7.1
ply-pm2
Up β $3.11

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $5

cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown β $0