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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 73%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$763.98

Combined PnL

-$0.97

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$266.18

Total Shares266

Combined PnL+$6.8

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares40

Combined PnL-$7.77

Up — 73%Down — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.2¢	$503.87	$497.79	+$0.85	54% 4065-3413 (7478)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.2¢	$250.11	$497.79	+$249.4
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$247.5	—	-$248.55
SO soswald1	Upavg 50¢	$150	$135	+$0.95	52% 3730-3475 (7205)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$33.64	$33.98	+$0.34	98% 4326-89 (4415)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 81.7¢	$33.87	$33.38	+$2.31	50% 4510-4587 (9097)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 86.4¢	$24.63	$24.35	-$0.28	44% 1359-1698 (3057)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 71¢	$14.04	$18	+$3.96	49% 3541-3613 (7154)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 73¢	$8.58	$7.48	-$1.1	39% 1668-2567 (4235)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 17.4¢	$5.15	—	-$5.15	54% 2631-2208 (4839)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 99¢	$6.93	$7	+$0.07	50% 2738-2731 (5469)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 92.1¢	$6.45	$7	+$0.55	62% 4490-2713 (7203)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 27¢	$1.42	—	-$1.42	49% 1701-1739 (3440)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 24¢	$1.2	—	-$1.2	48% 2357-2599 (4956)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$503.87

Value

$497.79

PnL

+$0.85

Record

54%

4065-3413 (7478)

Both legs:

Up$250.1150.2¢+$249.4

Down$247.550¢-$248.55

Invested

$150

Value

$135

PnL

+$0.95

Record

52%

3730-3475 (7205)

Invested

$33.64

Value

$33.98

PnL

+$0.34

Record

98%

4326-89 (4415)

Invested

$33.87

Value

$33.38

PnL

+$2.31

Record

50%

4510-4587 (9097)

Invested

$24.63

Value

$24.35

PnL

-$0.28

Record

44%

1359-1698 (3057)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$14.04

Value

$18

PnL

+$3.96

Record

49%

3541-3613 (7154)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$8.58

Value

$7.48

PnL

-$1.1

Record

39%

1668-2567 (4235)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$5.15

Value

—

PnL

-$5.15

Record

54%

2631-2208 (4839)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$6.93

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.07

Record

50%

2738-2731 (5469)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$6.45

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.55

Record

62%

4490-2713 (7203)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$1.42

Value

—

PnL

-$1.42

Record

49%

1701-1739 (3440)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

48%

2357-2599 (4956)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x2d07f243...236348

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794744600

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Up — $135

hoodquant

Up — $33.98

asdcaxz

Up — $33.38

13897651

Up — $24.35

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $18

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $7.48

ply-pm2

Down — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $7

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $7

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