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Down
OhioRiskManagementUpUpUpDownUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 43%
Total Value
$175
Combined PnL
-$505.33
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares524
Combined PnL-$508.32
Up4 traders
Total Value$175
Total Shares175
Combined PnL+$3
Down — 43%Up — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.9¢ | $510.56 | — | -$495.28 | 54% 4065-3413 (7478) |
OhioRiskManagement | Upavg 98.1¢ | $140.25 | $143 | +$2.75 | 39% 1668-2567 (4235) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 55.3¢ | $22.36 | $23 | +$0.64 | 49% 3541-3613 (7154) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $6.48 | $6 | -$0.48 | 50% 4510-4587 (9097) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 39.9¢ | $9.74 | — | -$9.74 | 44% 1359-1698 (3057) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $2.91 | $3 | +$0.09 | 62% 4490-2713 (7203) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $3.3 | — | -$3.3 | 52% 3730-3475 (7205) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$510.56
Value
—
PnL
-$495.28
Record
54%
4065-3413 (7478)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$140.25
Value
$143
PnL
+$2.75
Record
39%
1668-2567 (4235)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$22.36
Value
$23
PnL
+$0.64
Record
49%
3541-3613 (7154)
AS
asdcaxz<$100Invested
$6.48
Value
$6
PnL
-$0.48
Record
50%
4510-4587 (9097)
13
13897651CTR<$100Invested
$9.74
Value
—
PnL
-$9.74
Record
44%
1359-1698 (3057)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$2.91
Value
$3
PnL
+$0.09
Record
62%
4490-2713 (7203)
SO
soswald1CTR<$100Invested
$3.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
52%
3730-3475 (7205)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9242acd5...dd84a9
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794744300